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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
28.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games

Gvatemala - Nikaragua

Basketball
G
Gvatemala
- : -
Finished
N
Nikaragua
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gvatemala58%

1 · Gvatemala ✓ Pick57.6%
2 · Nikaragua42.4%

Model estimate: win Gvatemala 57.6%, win Nikaragua 42.4%. Model favourite — Gvatemala.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gvatemala (odds1.74) Score 81:79 Over 140.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +36.5 (odds1.85) confidence 58%
  • Gvatemala: forma P (0-1)
  • Nikaragua: forma PPP (0-3)
  • Model backs Gvatemala: probability 58% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Total: Over 140.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 140.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +36.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gvatemala - Nikaragua July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nikaragua. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.90 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 ✓ Pick 15.2%
2 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gvatemala

no data

Nikaragua
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 71.6points against 94.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

LIVE

Now in play

score 81:94 · 39'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Gvatemala - Nikaragua

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gvatemala - 57.6% model pick
Nikaragua - 42.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.6% / 42.4% probabilities
Rating 1,181 / 1,003 Gvatemala / Nikaragua
RD 272 / 237 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 637-1,725 / 528-1,477 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 42.4%
1 5.90 Fonbet · weak value +239.9% · model 57.6%
Total
Over 128.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 129.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.83 54.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.78 56.2%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 128.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 129.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 131.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 132.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 133.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 134.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 135.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 139.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 140.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 142.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 143.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 144.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 145.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 146.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 147.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 140.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.90 17.0%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Gvatemala
L
26.07 22:30 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Gvatemala 40:107 Dominican Republic
0 Wins
1 Losses
40.0 Scored
107.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nikaragua
L
26.07 14:30 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Tsentralnoamerikanskie i karibskie Games
Nikaragua 84:99 Beliz
0 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
99.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGvatemala - Nikaragua

Gvatemala
0 matches total
Nikaragua
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history