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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
30.07.2026 01:30 UTC
30.07.2026 01:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Liga Nacional

Atletico PTO Varas - Las Animas

International Basketball
Atletico PTO Varas
Atletico PTO Varas
- : -
Not started
Las Animas
Las Animas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletico PTO Varas — 62%

1 · Atletico PTO Varas ✓ Pick62.4%
market65%
2 · Las Animas37.6%
market35%

Model estimate: win Atletico PTO Varas 62.4%, win Las Animas 37.6%. Model favourite — Atletico PTO Varas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico PTO Varas (odds1.50) Score 82:78 Over 158.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 62%
  • • Atletiko RTO Varas: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Las Animas: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Atletiko RTO Varas: probability 62% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 158.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 158.5 (odds 1.82)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico PTO Varas - Las Animas July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atletico PTO Varas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.50 → 1.50
Pobeditel P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 01:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Atletico PTO Varas - Las Animas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico PTO Varas 61.7% 62.4% market and model agree
Las Animas 38.3% 37.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 62.4% / 37.6% probabilities
Rating 1,448 / 1,035 Atletico PTO Varas / Las Animas
RD 190 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,068-1,828 / 662-1,407 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 37.6%
1 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 62.4%
Total
Over 158.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% —
1.81 55.3% — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% — —
1.91 52.4% — — —
— — — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 158.5 — — 1.82 55.0% —
Over 159.5 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 158.5 — — 1.88 53.2% —
Under 159.5 1.88 53.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%
2.75 36.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.75 36.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-0-4
2026-07-10 · Puerto Varas 51:97 Las Animas
2026-05-24 · Puerto Varas 79:72 Las Animas
2026-05-23 · Puerto Varas 94:76 Las Animas
2026-05-17 · Puerto Varas 71:82 Las Animas
2026-05-16 · Puerto Varas 81:76 Las Animas
Source: ruscore
Atletico PTO Varas
L L W W L
27.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 76:87 Espanol OsornoEspanol Osorno
26.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 68:85 ValdiviyaValdiviya
19.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 77:69 Deportes KastroDeportes Kastro
14.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 86:81 Puerto Montt
10.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletico PTO Varas 49:97 Las AnimasLas Animas
2 Wins
3 Losses
71.2 Scored
83.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Las Animas
L L L L W
27.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Las Animas 66:100 ValdiviyaValdiviya
25.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Las Animas 85:92 Espanol OsornoEspanol Osorno
20.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Las Animas 88:96 Ankud
19.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Las Animas 76:87 Deportes KastroDeportes Kastro
12.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Las Animas 91:84 Puerto Montt
1 Wins
4 Losses
81.2 Scored
91.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico PTO Varas - Las Animas

Atletico PTO Varas
1 matches total
Las Animas
Atletico PTO Varas: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Animas: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Las Animas 49:97 (10.07 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 146 goals (49:97, 10.07 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletiko RTO Varas
49:97
Las Animas