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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
01.08.2026 00:30 UTC
01.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Liga Nacional

CD Univ Catolica - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca

International Basketball
CD Univ Catolica
CD Univ Catolica
- : -
Not started
C. D. Español de Talca
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca — 50%

1 · CD Univ Catolica49.9%
2 V· C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca50.1%

Model estimate: win CD Univ Catolica 49.9%, win C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 50.1%. Model favourite vЂ” C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CD Univ Catolica - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: CD Univ Catolica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 81.9%
2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.13 → 1.13
Pobeditel P2 5.10 → 5.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

CD Univ Catolica - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CD Univ Catolica 81.9% 49.9% market favourite
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 18.1% 50.1% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.9% / 50.1% probabilities
Rating 1,012 / 1,079 CD Univ Catolica / C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
RD 275 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 462-1,562 / 578-1,579 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · weak value +155.3% · model 50.1%
1 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 49.9%
Total
Over 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8% — 1.85 54.1%
— 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 165.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 165.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
4.70 21.3% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2
2026-07-11 · Universidad Katolika 93:81 Espanol de Talka
2026-04-26 · Universidad Katolika 72:86 Espanol de Talka
2026-04-05 · Universidad Katolika 81:74 Espanol de Talka
2025-10-19 · Universidad Katolika 61:54 Espanol de Talka
2025-10-03 · Universidad Katolika 87:62 Espanol de Talka
Source: ruscore
CD Univ Catolica
L W
26.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
CD Univ Catolica 68:77 Puento AltoPuento Alto
09.07 01:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
CD Univ Catolica 70:69 KoloKolo
1 Wins
1 Losses
69.0 Scored
73.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
L
12.07 23:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 71:90 KoloKolo
0 Wins
1 Losses
71.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage