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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Liga Nacional

International

Colegio Los Leones - Univer de Concepcion

International Basketball
Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones
- : -
Not started
Univer de Concepcion
Univer de Concepcion

Colegio Los Leones face Univer de Concepcion on August 4, 2026 in the Chile. Liga Nacional, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Colegio Los Leones 5-0-0, Univer de Concepcion 5-0-0. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Colegio Los Leones50%

1 · Colegio Los Leones50.2%
2 · Univer de Concepcion49.8%

Model estimate: win Colegio Los Leones 50.2%, win Univer de Concepcion 49.8%. Model favourite — Colegio Los Leones.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colegio Los Leones (odds1.88) Score 81:79 Under 165.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H1 +1.5 (odds1.80) confidence 50%
  • Kolekhio Los Leones: forma VVV (3-0)
  • Univer Konsepson: forma VVV (3-0)
  • Model backs Kolekhio Los Leones: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.88)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 165.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colegio Los Leones - Univer de Concepcion August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Univer de Concepcion. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.88 / 2 1.82

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 49.2%
2 50.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.88 → 1.88
Pobeditel P2 1.82 → 1.82

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 49.2% @ 1.88 / 2 50.8% @ 1.82
Form 6 matches
Match center

Colegio Los Leones - Univer de Concepcion

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colegio Los Leones 49.2% 50.2% Glicko contrarian
Univer de Concepcion 50.8% 49.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,867 / 1,924 Colegio Los Leones / Univer de Concepcion
RD 239 / 260 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,388-2,345 / 1,405-2,444 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%
1 1.88 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
Total
Over 165.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 165.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 165.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.88 53.2%
1.82 55.0%
Match center
Colegio Los Leones
W W W W W
2026-07-26 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 63:100 Colegio Los Leones
2026-07-16 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones Colegio Los Leones 87:77 Colo Colo
2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Colegio Los Leones Colegio Los Leones 73:62 Puente Alto
2026-06-14 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Colegio Los Leones Colegio Los Leones 77:71 Espanol Osorno
2026-06-10 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Colegio Los Leones Univer de Concepcion 78:79 Colegio Los Leones
5 Wins
0 Losses
83.2 Scored
70.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Univer de Concepcion
W W W W W
2026-07-31 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Univer de Concepcion 97:89 Puente Alto Univer de Concepcion
2026-07-25 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Univer de Concepcion 136:77 C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca Univer de Concepcion
2026-07-19 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Univer de Concepcion 104:83 CD Univ Catolica Univer de Concepcion
2026-07-18 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Univer de Concepcion 109:76 Colo Colo Univer de Concepcion
2026-07-10 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference Center
Puente Alto 79:86 Univer de Concepcion Univer de Concepcion
5 Wins
0 Losses
106.4 Scored
80.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyColegio Los Leones - Univer de Concepcion

Colegio Los Leones
3 matches total
Univer de Concepcion
Colegio Los Leones: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Univer de Concepcion: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Univer de Concepcion 89:78 (2026-06-01) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 167 goals (89:78, 2026-06-01) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-06-10 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Univer de Concepcion 78:79 Colegio Los Leones
2026-06-07 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Colegio Los Leones 83:78 Univer de Concepcion
2026-06-01 LNB 2026, Apertura, Playoffs
Univer de Concepcion 89:78 Colegio Los Leones