PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Liga Nacional

International

Deportes Castro - Espanol Osorno

International Basketball
Deportes Castro
Deportes Castro
- : -
Not started
Espanol Osorno
Espanol Osorno

Deportes Castro go head-to-head with Espanol Osorno on August 2, 2026 in the Chile. Liga Nacional, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Castro 3-0-2, Espanol Osorno 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Espanol Osorno — 75%

Pure model vs market (2 · Espanol Osorno): model 60% · market 76% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportes Castro25.4%
market24%
2 · Espanol Osorno ✓ Pick74.6%
market76%

Model estimate: win Deportes Castro 25.4%, win Espanol Osorno 74.6%. Model favourite — Espanol Osorno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Espanol Osorno (odds1.21) Score 78:82 Under 160.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H1 +9.5 (odds1.85) confidence 60%
  • • Deportes Kastro: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Espanol Osorno: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Espanol Osorno: probability 60% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 160.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 160.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F1 +9.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Castro - Espanol Osorno August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Espanol Osorno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.90 / 2 1.21

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 23.7%
2 ✓ Pick 76.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 3.90 → 3.90
Pobeditel P2 1.21 → 1.21

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 23.7% @ 3.90 / 2 76.3% @ 1.21
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Deportes Castro - Espanol Osorno

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportes Castro 24.3% 25.4%
Espanol Osorno 75.7% 74.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 25.4% / 74.6% probabilities
Rating 1,435 / 1,830 Deportes Castro / Espanol Osorno
RD 217 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,001-1,869 / 1,506-2,155 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.21 Fonbet · no value · model 74.6%
1 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 25.4%
Total
Over 160.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 160.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 160.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 161.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Deportes Castro
W W L W L
2026-07-26 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro Deportes Castro 69:64 Puerto Montt
2026-07-23 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro Ancud 73:76 Deportes Castro
2026-07-19 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro Deportes Castro 69:77 Atletico PTO Varas
2026-07-19 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro Deportes Castro 87:76 Las Animas
2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro Espanol Osorno 92:78 Deportes Castro
3 Wins
2 Losses
75.8 Scored
76.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Espanol Osorno
W W W L W
2026-07-27 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Espanol Osorno 87:76 Atletico PTO Varas Espanol Osorno
2026-07-25 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Las Animas 85:92 Espanol Osorno Espanol Osorno
2026-07-19 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Espanol Osorno 85:70 Puerto Montt Espanol Osorno
2026-07-16 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Valdivia 108:82 Espanol Osorno Espanol Osorno
2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Espanol Osorno 92:78 Deportes Castro Espanol Osorno
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.6 Scored
83.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportes Castro - Espanol Osorno

Deportes Castro
2 matches total
Espanol Osorno
Deportes Castro: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanol Osorno: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Espanol Osorno 92:78 (2026-07-12) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (92:78, 2026-07-12) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-12 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Espanol Osorno 92:78 Deportes Castro
12.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Deportes Kastro
78:92
Espanol Osorno