Espanol de Talca face Puente Alto on August 7, 2026 in the Chile. Liga Nacional, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Espanol de Talca 1-0-4, Puente Alto 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Espanol de Talca — 54%
54%1
1 · Espanol de Talca54.4%
2 · Puente Alto45.6%
Model estimate: win Espanol de Talca 54.4%, win Puente Alto 45.6%. Model favourite — Espanol de Talca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Espanol de Talca (odds2.35)Score 81:79Under 164.5(odds1.88)Handicap H1 +3.5(odds1.90)confidence 54%
•Espanol De Talka: forma VVPPP (2-3)
•Puento Alto: forma PPVPP (1-4)
•Model backs Espanol De Talka: probability 54% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
•edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
•Total: Under 164.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 164.5 (odds 1.88)
•Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Espanol de Talca - Puente Alto August 7, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Puente Alto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / 2 1.62
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
4 books · best price +2.9%
141.1%
258.9%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.33→ 2.33
Winner P21.53→ 1.53
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start07.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market1 43.0% @ 2.15 / 2 57.0% @ 1.62
Form6 matches
Match center
Espanol de Talca - Puente Alto
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Espanol de Talca39.6%54.4%Glicko contrarian
Puente Alto60.4%45.6%market favourite
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P254.4% / 45.6%
probabilities
Rating1,363 / 1,300
Espanol De Talka / Puente Alto
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.62
Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%
12.15
Fonbet · value +17.0% · model 54.4%
Total
Over 164.51.82
Fonbet · line only
Under 164.51.88
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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