Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
12.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

Espanol Osorno - Deportes Castro

International Basketball
Espanol Osorno
Espanol Osorno
92 : 78
Finished
Deportes Castro
Deportes Castro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanol Osorno - Deportes Castro July 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Espanol Osorno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Espanol Osorno - Deportes Castro

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8%
1.94 51.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 150.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 151.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 153.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 154.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 155.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 156.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 157.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 158.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
Over 159.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 162.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 163.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 158.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
7.30 13.7% 7.30 13.7% 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Deportes Castro
L
11.07 23:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Deportes Castro 54:90 ValdiviyaValdiviya
0 Wins
1 Losses
54.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage