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Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Liga Nacional

Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

International Basketball
Puente Alto
Puente Alto
- : -
Not started
Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Colegio Los Leones61%

1 · Puente Alto39.4%
market43%
2 · Colegio Los Leones ✓ Pick60.6%
market57%

Model estimate: win Puente Alto 39.4%, win Colegio Los Leones 60.6%. Model favourite — Colegio Los Leones.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Colegio Los Leones (odds1.62) Score 78:82 Over 157.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 -2.5 (odds1.80) confidence 61%
  • Puento Alto: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Kolekhio Los Leones: forma VV (2-0)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Kolekhio Los Leones: probability 61% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 157.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 157.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 -2.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Colegio Los Leones. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / 2 1.62

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 43.0%
2 ✓ Pick 57.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.15 → 2.15
Pobeditel P2 1.62 → 1.62

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Puente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puente Alto 43.0% 39.4%
Colegio Los Leones 57.0% 60.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.4% / 60.6% probabilities
Rating 1,347 / 1,808 Puente Alto / Colegio Los Leones
RD 225 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 897-1,798 / 1,291-2,325 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 60.6%
1 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 39.4%
Total
Over 157.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 157.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 158.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%
1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-5
2026-07-12 · Puente Alto 62:73 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-26 · Puente Alto 68:83 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-23 · Puente Alto 81:89 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-22 · Puente Alto 73:64 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
2026-05-17 · Puente Alto 93:101 Kolekhio Leones Kilpue
Source: ruscore
Puente Alto
L W L L L
31.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puente Alto 67:77 Univer Konsepson
26.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puente Alto 77:68 Univer Katolika
24.07 00:30 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puente Alto 84:96 KoloKolo
12.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puente Alto 62:73 Kolekhio Los Leones
10.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puente Alto 78:83 Univer Konsepson
1 Wins
4 Losses
73.6 Scored
79.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Colegio Los Leones
W W
16.07 01:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Colegio Los Leones 87:77 KoloKolo
12.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Colegio Los Leones 73:62 Puento AltoPuento Alto
2 Wins
0 Losses
80.0 Scored
69.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuente Alto - Colegio Los Leones

Puente Alto
1 matches total
Colegio Los Leones
Puente Alto: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Colegio Los Leones: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kolekhio Los Leones 62:73 (12.07 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 135 goals (62:73, 12.07 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 00:00 UTC Chile. Liga Nasional
Puento Alto
62:73
Kolekhio Los Leones