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Chile: LNB - Clausura
Chile: LNB - Clausura
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Ancud - Espanol Osorno

Basketball
A
Ancud
- : -
Not started
E
Espanol Osorno

Ancud take on Espanol Osorno on August 2, 2026 in the Chile: LNB - Clausura.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ancud 3-0-2, Espanol Osorno 4-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ancud59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ancud): model 44% · market 61% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ancud58.8%
market61%
2 · Espanol Osorno41.2%
market39%

Model estimate: win Ancud 58.8%, win Espanol Osorno 41.2%. Model favourite — Ancud.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Espanol Osorno (odds1.59) Score 79:81 confidence 56%
  • Ankud: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • Espanol Osorno: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • Model backs Espanol Osorno: probability 56% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ancud - Espanol Osorno August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ancud. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / 2 2.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 60.6%
2 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 60.6% @ 1.55 / 2 39.4% @ 2.38
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ancud - Espanol Osorno

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ancud 59.9% 58.8% market and model agree
Espanol Osorno 40.1% 41.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities
Rating 1,528 / 1,760 Ancud / Espanol Osorno
RD 214 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,101-1,956 / 1,388-2,133 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%
1 1.54 market consensus · no value · model 58.8%
Total
Over 159.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 162.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.81 55.3%
1.80 55.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Over 162.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 163.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 159.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Under 162.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 163.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8%
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%
Match center
Ancud
W L W W L
24.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Ancud 86:71 Puente MonttPuente Montt
22.07 23:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Ancud 73:76 Naviera Ulloa
19.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Ancud 96:88 Las AnimasLas Animas
18.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Ancud 90:84 Puerto VarasPuerto Varas
12.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Ancud 78:97 ValdiviyaValdiviya
3 Wins
2 Losses
84.6 Scored
83.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Espanol Osorno
W W W L W
26.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol Osorno 87:76 Puerto VarasPuerto Varas
25.07 21:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol Osorno 92:85 Las AnimasLas Animas
19.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol Osorno 85:70 Puente MonttPuente Montt
15.07 23:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol Osorno 82:108 ValdiviyaValdiviya
12.07 21:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol Osorno 92:78 Naviera Ulloa
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.6 Scored
83.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAncud - Espanol Osorno

Ancud
0 matches total
Espanol Osorno
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history