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Chile: LNB - Clausura
Chile: LNB - Clausura
03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Ancud - Valdivia

Basketball
A
Ancud
- : -
Not started
Valdivia
Valdivia

Ancud take on Valdivia on August 3, 2026 in the Chile: LNB - Clausura.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ancud 3-0-2, Valdivia 5-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Valdivia — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Valdivia): model 64% · market 72% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ancud28.5%
market28%
2 · Valdivia ✓ Pick71.5%
market72%

Model estimate: win Ancud 28.5%, win Valdivia 71.5%. Model favourite — Valdivia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Valdivia (odds1.28) Score 77:83 Under 162.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +7.5 (odds1.90) confidence 72%
  • • Ankud: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Valdiviya: forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Model backs Valdiviya: probability 72% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 162.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 162.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +7.5: score forecast 77:83 (diff -6) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ancud - Valdivia August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valdivia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.35 / 2 1.28

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 27.6%
2 ✓ Pick 72.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 3.35 → 3.35
Pobeditel P2 1.28 → 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 27.6% @ 3.35 / 2 72.4% @ 1.28
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ancud - Valdivia

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ancud 27.9% 28.5%
Valdivia 72.1% 71.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 28.5% / 71.5% probabilities
Rating 1,425 / 2,237 Ancud / Valdivia
RD 192 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,040-1,810 / 1,722-2,752 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%
1 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%
Total
Over 162.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 162.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 163.5 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% —
Under 162.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 163.5 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9%
1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Ancud
L W L W W
2026-08-02 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Ancud Ancud 91:92 Espanol Osorno
2026-07-25 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Ancud Puerto Montt 71:86 Ancud
2026-07-23 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Ancud Ancud 73:76 Deportes Castro
2026-07-20 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Ancud Ancud 96:88 Las Animas
2026-07-19 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Ancud Ancud 90:84 Atletico PTO Varas
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.2 Scored
82.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Valdivia
W W W W W
2026-08-02 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Deportes Castro 79:92 Valdivia Valdivia
2026-07-27 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Valdivia 100:71 Las Animas Valdivia
2026-07-26 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Atletico PTO Varas 68:85 Valdivia Valdivia
2026-07-16 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Valdivia 108:82 Espanol Osorno Valdivia
2026-07-13 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Valdivia 97:78 Ancud Valdivia
5 Wins
0 Losses
96.4 Scored
75.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAncud - Valdivia

Ancud
1 matches total
Valdivia
Ancud: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Valdivia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Valdivia 97:78 (2026-07-13) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 175 goals (97:78, 2026-07-13) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-13 LNB 2026, Clausura, Conference South
Valdivia 97:78 Ancud