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Chile: LNB - Clausura
Chile: LNB - Clausura
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Espanol De Talka - Puente Alto

Basketball
Espanol De Talka
Espanol De Talka
- : -
Not started
Puente Alto
Puente Alto

Espanol De Talka go head-to-head with Puente Alto on August 4, 2026 in the Chile: LNB - Clausura.

Recent form (W-D-L): Espanol De Talka 1-0-4, Puente Alto 1-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Puente Alto71%

Pure model vs market (2 · Puente Alto): model 47% · market 69% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Espanol De Talka28.6%
market31%
2 · Puente Alto ✓ Pick71.4%
market69%

Model estimate: win Espanol De Talka 28.6%, win Puente Alto 71.4%. Model favourite — Puente Alto.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Puente Alto (odds1.99) Score 79:81 confidence 50%
  • Espanol De Talka: forma pp (0-2)
  • Puente Alto: forma PPV (1-2)
  • Model backs Puente Alto: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanol De Talka - Puente Alto August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Puente Alto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.66 / 2 1.34

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books
1 30.7%
2 ✓ Pick 69.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 26.8% @ 3.66 / 2 73.2% @ 1.34
Form 6 matches
Match center

Espanol De Talka - Puente Alto

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Espanol De Talka 26.8% 28.6%
Puente Alto 73.2% 71.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 28.6% / 71.4% probabilities
Rating 1,363 / 1,339 Espanol De Talka / Puente Alto
RD 186 / 208 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 990-1,735 / 924-1,755 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 71.4%
1 3.22 market consensus · no value · model 28.6%
Total
Over 161.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 162.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 161.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
Under 161.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
Under 162.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.66 27.3%
1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Espanol De Talka
W L L L L
02.08 23:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol De Talka 73:62 KoloKolo
01.08 00:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol De Talka 80:99 KatolikaKatolika
26.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol De Talka 63:100 Leones KilpeLeones Kilpe
24.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol De Talka 77:138 Universidad de KonsepsonUniversidad de Konsepson
12.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Espanol De Talka 71:90 KoloKolo
1 Wins
4 Losses
72.8 Scored
97.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Puente Alto
L L W L
02.08 00:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 75:88 Leones KilpeLeones Kilpe
30.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 89:97 Universidad de KonsepsonUniversidad de Konsepson
25.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 77:68 KatolikaKatolika
23.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 84:96 KoloKolo
1 Wins
3 Losses
81.3 Scored
87.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage