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Chile: LNB - Clausura
Chile: LNB - Clausura
30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Katolika - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca

Basketball
K
Katolika
- : -
Not started
C. D. Español de Talca
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca — 51%

1 · Katolika49.1%
2 V· C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca50.9%

Model estimate: win Katolika 49.1%, win C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 50.9%. Model favourite vЂ” C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Katolika - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Katolika. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.15 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 80.3%
2 19.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Katolika - C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Katolika 80.3% 49.1% market favourite
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 19.7% 50.9% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.1% / 50.9% probabilities
Rating 986 / 1,079 Katolika / C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
RD 261 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 463-1,508 / 578-1,579 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 market consensus · weak value +139.5% · model 50.9%
1 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 49.1%
Total
Over 165.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 165.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.15 87.0%
4.70 21.3%
Match center
Katolika
L L
25.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Katolika 68:77 Puente AltoPuente Alto
19.07 21:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Katolika 83:104 Universidad de KonsepsonUniversidad de Konsepson
0 Wins
2 Losses
75.5 Scored
90.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca
L L L
26.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 63:100 Leones KilpeLeones Kilpe
24.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 77:138 Universidad de KonsepsonUniversidad de Konsepson
12.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
C. D. EspaG±ol de Talca 71:90 KoloKolo
0 Wins
3 Losses
70.3 Scored
109.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage