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Chile: LNB - Clausura
Chile: LNB - Clausura
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Alto - Leones Kilpe

Basketball
Puente Alto
Puente Alto
- : -
Not started
Leones Kilpe
Leones Kilpe

Puente Alto go head-to-head with Leones Kilpe on August 2, 2026 in the Chile: LNB - Clausura.

Recent form (W-D-L): Puente Alto 1-0-2, Leones Kilpe 2-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Leones Kilpe — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Leones Kilpe): model 63% · market 55% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Puente Alto44.7%
2 · Leones Kilpe ✓ Pick55.3%

Model estimate: win Puente Alto 44.7%, win Leones Kilpe 55.3%. Model favourite — Leones Kilpe.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones Kilpe (odds1.61) Score 78:82 confidence 63%
  • • Puente Alto: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Leones Kilpe: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-2 (za 3)
  • • Model backs Leones Kilpe: probability 63% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puente Alto - Leones Kilpe August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Leones Kilpe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 44.6%
2 ✓ Pick 55.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 44.6% @ 2.11 / 2 55.4% @ 1.70
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Puente Alto - Leones Kilpe

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puente Alto 45.3% 44.7%
Leones Kilpe 54.7% 55.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 44.7% / 55.3% probabilities
Rating 1,365 / 1,953 Puente Alto / Leones Kilpe
RD 215 / 157 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 935-1,795 / 1,640-2,266 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 55.3%
1 2.07 market consensus · no value · model 44.7%
Total
Over 157.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 158.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.75 57.1% —
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
— 1.96 51.0% —
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
Over 159.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 160.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Under 157.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
Under 158.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
Under 159.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Under 160.5 — — 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.11 47.4%
1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Puente Alto
L W L
30.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 89:97 Universidad de KonsepsonUniversidad de Konsepson
25.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 77:68 KatolikaKatolika
23.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Puente Alto 84:96 KoloKolo
1 Wins
2 Losses
83.3 Scored
87.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Leones Kilpe
W W
26.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Leones Kilpe 100:63 Espanol De TalkaEspanol De Talka
15.07 23:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura
Leones Kilpe 87:77 KoloKolo
2 Wins
0 Losses
93.5 Scored
70.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuente Alto - Leones Kilpe

Puente Alto
3 matches total
Leones Kilpe
Puente Alto: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leones Kilpe: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Leones Kilpe 68:83 (25.05 22:30 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (81:89, 23.05 21:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.05 22:30 UTC+0 Chile: LNB - Apertura - Playoff
Puente Alto
68:83
Leones Kilpe
23.05 21:30 UTC+0 Chile: LNB - Apertura - Playoff
Puente Alto
81:89
Leones Kilpe
22.05 21:30 UTC+0 Chile: LNB - Apertura - Playoff
Puente Alto
73:64
Leones Kilpe