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Chile: LNB - Clausura

02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Not started

Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt - Puerto Varas

Basketball

Puente Montt

- : -

Not started

Puerto Varas

Puente Montt meet Puerto Varas on August 2, 2026 in the Chile: LNB - Clausura.

Recent form (W-D-L): Puente Montt 1-0-4, Puerto Varas 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Puerto Varas — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Puerto Varas): model 58% · market 64% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Puente Montt36.7%

market36%

2 · Puerto Varas ✓ Pick63.3%

market64%

Model estimate: win Puente Montt 36.7%, win Puerto Varas 63.3%. Model favourite — Puerto Varas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Puerto Varas (odds1.46) Score 78:82 confidence 63%

• Puente Montt: forma VPPPP (1-4)
• Puerto Varas: forma VPPVP (2-3)
• ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
• Model backs Puerto Varas: probability 63% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.46)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puente Montt - Puerto Varas August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Puerto Varas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / 2 1.46

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.4%

1 36.2%

2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Market 1 36.2% @ 2.57 / 2 63.8% @ 1.46

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Puente Montt - Puerto Varas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Puente Montt 36.2% 36.7%

Puerto Varas 63.8% 63.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 36.7% / 63.3% probabilities

Rating 1,229 / 1,519 Puente Montt / Puerto Varas

RD 189 / 150 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 851-1,607 / 1,219-1,819 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 63.3%

1 2.56 market consensus · no value · model 36.7%

Total

Over 160.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Under 160.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%
	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 160.5	1.89 52.9%	1.88 53.2%
Under 160.5	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	2.57 38.9%	2.55 39.2%
	1.46 68.5%	1.45 69.0%

Match center

Puente Montt

W L L L L

01.08 00:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt 83:78 Las Animas

26.07 21:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt 64:69 Naviera Ulloa

24.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt 71:86 Ankud

19.07 21:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt 70:85 Espanol Osorno

13.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt 81:86 Puerto Varas

1 Wins

4 Losses

73.8 Scored

80.8 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Puerto Varas

W L L W L

29.07 23:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puerto Varas 91:90 Las Animas

26.07 22:00 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puerto Varas 76:87 Espanol Osorno

25.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puerto Varas 68:85 Valdiviya

19.07 21:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puerto Varas 77:69 Naviera Ulloa

18.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puerto Varas 84:90 Ankud

2 Wins

3 Losses

79.2 Scored

84.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuente Montt - Puerto Varas

Puente Montt

1 matches total

Puerto Varas

Puente Montt: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Puerto Varas: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Puerto Varas 81:86 (13.07 22:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 167 goals (81:86, 13.07 22:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 22:30 UTC Chile: LNB - Clausura

Puente Montt

81:86

Puerto Varas