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Chile: LNB - Klausura
Chile: LNB - Klausura
13.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
13.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Chile: LNB - Klausura

Puerto Varas - Puente Montt

Basketball
Puerto Varas
Puerto Varas
86 : 81
Finished
Puente Montt
Puente Montt
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Puerto Varas — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Puerto Varas): model 51% · market 67% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Puerto Varas ✓ Прогноз65.4%
market67%
2 · Puente Montt34.6%
market33%

Model estimate: win Puerto Varas 65.4%, win Puente Montt 34.6%. Model favourite — Puerto Varas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puerto Varas - Puente Montt 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Puerto Varas.

Line favourite market consensus: Puerto Varas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / 2 2.78
  • Glicko: Puerto Varas 65.4% / Puente Montt 34.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Прогноз 66.7%
2 33.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Puerto Varas - Puente Montt

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 86:81
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puerto Varas 66.4% 65.4% market and model agree
Puente Montt 33.6% 34.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 65.4% / 34.6% probabilities
Rating 1,720 / 1,500 Puerto Varas / Puente Montt
RD 189 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,341-2,099 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.76 market consensus · no value · model 34.6%
1 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 65.4%
Total
Over 160.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 160.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -6.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
П1 -8.5 — 1.81 55.3% —
П2 +6.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
П2 +8.5 — 1.89 52.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 160.5 1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 160.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
П2 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.78 36.0%
Match center
Puerto Varas
L L W W L
08.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puerto Varas 55:69 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
05.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puerto Varas 61:62 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
04.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puerto Varas 87:83 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
29.05 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puerto Varas 63:60 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
28.05 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puerto Varas 75:81 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
2 Wins
3 Losses
68.2 Scored
71.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Puente Montt
L L W
08.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puente Montt 55:69 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
05.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puente Montt 61:62 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
04.06 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф
Puente Montt 87:83 Эспаньол ОсорноЭспаньол Осорно
1 Wins
2 Losses
67.7 Scored
71.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage