China. Women. NBL
Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) - Beijing Shougang (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Beijing Shougang (w) — 51%
Model estimate: win Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) 49.0%, win Beijing Shougang (w) 51.0%. Model favourite — Beijing Shougang (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) - Beijing Shougang (w) 16 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Beijing Shougang (w).
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
- Glicko: Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) 49.0% / Beijing Shougang (w) 51.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) - Beijing Shougang (w)
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +10.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +15.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +16.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +17.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +18.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +19.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +20.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +21.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +22.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 152.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 153.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 156.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 157.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| П2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (w)
Beijing Shougang (w)
Full head-to-head historyShanghai Pudong Development Bank (w) - Beijing Shougang (w)