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China. Women. NBL
China. Women. NBL International
15.07.2026 14:30 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 14:30 MSK
Finished

China. Women. NBL

Sichuan (w) - Dalyan Venti (zh)

International Basketball
Sichuan (w)
Sichuan (w)
81 : 56
Finished
Dalyan Venti (zh)
Dalyan Venti (zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sichuan (w) — 50%

1 · Sichuan (w)50.3%
2 · Dalyan Venti (zh)49.7%

Model estimate: win Sichuan (w) 50.3%, win Dalyan Venti (zh) 49.7%. Model favourite — Sichuan (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sichuan (w) - Dalyan Venti (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sichuan (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Sichuan (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Sichuan (w) 50.3% / Dalyan Venti (zh) 49.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.28 ↓ 1.04
Победитель П2 3.30 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 14:30 MSK
Match center

Sichuan (w) - Dalyan Venti (zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 81:56
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sichuan (w) 89.1% 50.3% market and model agree
Dalyan Venti (zh) 10.9% 49.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Sichuan (w) / Dalyan Venti (zh)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +322.4% · model 49.7%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 131.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -11.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -13.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -14.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -15.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -16.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -17.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -18.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -19.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -20.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -21.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -22.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -23.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -24.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -25.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -26.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -7.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -9.5 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 131.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 132.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 133.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 134.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 136.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 137.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 138.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 139.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 140.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 141.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 142.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 143.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 144.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 145.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 146.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 147.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 148.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 149.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.04 96.2%
П2 8.50 11.8%