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Colombia: LBP - Apertura - Playoff
Colombia: LBP - Apertura - Playoff
18.05.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Colombia: LBP - Apertura - Playoff

Simarrones del Choko - Piratas de Bogota

Basketball
Simarrones del Choko
Simarrones del Choko
72 : 62
Finished
Piratas de Bogota
Piratas de Bogota

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Simarrones del Choko - Piratas de Bogota May 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Simarrones del Choko. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 68.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Kolizeo El Zhardin (Kibdo)
Referee Montoya O. 🇨🇴 - Soto J. 🇯🇵 - Velez C. 🇨🇴
Start 18.05.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Simarrones del Choko - Piratas de Bogota

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 79.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 79.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 151.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 79.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 151.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
2.95 33.9%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Simarrones del Choko
Data 0 / 0 / 3 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Piratas de Bogota

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Toros del Valle streak (4) Piratas de Bogota
1/4 (5) Simarrones del Choko streak (2) Paisas
1/4 (3) Caimanes del Llano streak (6) Sabios Baloncesto