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Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
10.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff

Zadar - Tsibona

Basketball
Zadar
Zadar
75 : 82
Finished
Tsibona
Tsibona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zadar - Tsibona June 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tsibona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 26.3%
2 73.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

22Wins17
53.7%Win %41.5%
75.7Points per game71.4
95.2Offensive rating89.0
89.8Defensive rating94.3
4.3Point differential-4.3
50.3Assists42.9
107.6Rebounds90.4
35.6%3-pointers, %32.3%

Team form

Zadar

Coach: Danijel Jusup

Overall LWWLW Net +31.8
Home WLW Net +43.2
Away LWW Net +19.8
Tsibona
Overall WLLWW Net +12.6
Home WLW Net +18.7
Away LWL Net +5.6

Team stats

Zadar Overall · Home/Away Tsibona
85.4%H 95.2% · A 75.0%Win %72.1%H 78.3% · A 65.0%
31.8H 43.2 · A 19.8Point differential12.6H 18.7 · A 5.6
86.3H 89.1 · A 83.5Points per game82.3H 84.7 · A 79.6
70.4H 67.4 · A 73.6Conceded76.0H 75.4 · A 76.8
47.8%H 48.1% · A 47.5%FG, %46.7%H 48.6% · A 44.6%
78.1A 70.01st half53.5H 52.2 · A 55.0
74.1H 75.2 · A 73.1Pace72.8H 73.9 · A 71.5
116.4H 114.7 · A 118.3Offensive rating113.0H 111.8 · A 114.4
95.0H 93.6 · A 96.5Defensive rating104.3H 103.2 · A 105.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Zadar Total (over) Tsibona
86.3 Points per game 82.3
80.5%
O 80.5
55.8%
73.2%
O 81.5
55.8%
65.9%
O 82.5
53.5%
58.5%
O 83.5
53.5%
53.7%
O 84.5srednee
44.2%
48.8%
O 85.5
39.5%
46.3%
O 86.5
39.5%
39.0%
O 87.5
37.2%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Zadar Total (over) Tsibona
7.3%
O 103.5
0.0%
7.3%
O 104.5
0.0%
4.9%
O 105.5
0.0%
4.9%
O 106.5
0.0%
2.4%
O 107.5
0.0%
2.4%
O 108.5
0.0%
2.4%
O 109.5
0.0%
2.4%
O 110.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Zadar 43.6 / Tsibona 41.3

Zadar Total (over) Tsibona
70.7%
O 40.5
55.8%
65.9%
O 41.5
53.5%
58.5%
O 42.5srednee
44.2%
51.2%
O 43.5
37.2%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Zadar 42.5 / Tsibona 41.0

Zadar Total (over) Tsibona
61.0%
O 40.5
58.1%
58.5%
O 41.5srednee
44.2%
56.1%
O 42.5
41.9%
53.7%
O 43.5
41.9%

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Match center
Stadium Kreshimir Kosich (Zadar)
Referee Radojkovic J. 🇭🇷 - Vovk T. 🇭🇷 - Jurcevic J. 🇭🇷
Attendance 9 000
Start 10.06.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Zadar - Tsibona

Array

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 132.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 135.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.80 55.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 81.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 132.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 135.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 137.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 145.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 146.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 148.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 149.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 150.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 151.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 152.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 155.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 132.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 135.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 137.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 143.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet BetBoom Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 3.50 28.6% 1.16 86.2%
4.90 20.4% 5.40 18.5% 4.90 20.4% 5.50 18.2% 1.25 80.0% 5.60 17.9%
Match center
Zadar
W W L
05.06 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar 87:70 TsibonaTsibona
02.06 16:15 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar 92:57 TsibonaTsibona
31.05 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar 72:74 TsibonaTsibona
2 Wins
1 Losses
83.7 Scored
67.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Tsibona
L L W W
05.06 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Tsibona 70:87 ZadarZadar
02.06 16:15 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Tsibona 57:92 ZadarZadar
31.05 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Tsibona 74:72 ZadarZadar
19.05 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Tsibona 92:87 DubravaDubrava
2 Wins
2 Losses
73.3 Scored
84.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZadar - Tsibona

Zadar
3 matches total
Tsibona
Zadar: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tsibona: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Zadar 92:57 (02.06 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 157 goals (87:70, 05.06 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

05.06 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar
87:70
Tsibona
02.06 16:15 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar
92:57
Tsibona
31.05 16:00 UTC Croatia: Premer-liga - Playoff
Zadar
72:74
Tsibona
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zadar
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Tsibona

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zadar 2:0 (8) Kvarner
1/4 (4) Samobor streak (5) Dubrovnik
1/4 (2) Tsibona streak (7) Dubrava
1/4 (3) Split streak (6) Zabok