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Ecuador. LBP
Ecuador. LBP International
05.08.2026 00:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Not started

Ecuador. LBP

Importadora Alvarado - Zamora Raptors

International Basketball
Importadora Alvarado
Importadora Alvarado
- : -
Not started
Zamora Raptors
Zamora Raptors

Importadora Alvarado face Zamora Raptors on August 5, 2026 in the Ecuador. LBP, International.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Importadora Alvarado — 52%

1 · Importadora Alvarado51.6%
2 · Zamora Raptors48.4%

Model estimate: win Importadora Alvarado 51.6%, win Zamora Raptors 48.4%. Model favourite — Importadora Alvarado.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Importadora Alvarado (odds1.35) Score 81:79 Over 156.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.85) confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Importadora Alvarado: probability 52% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 156.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 156.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Importadora Alvarado - Zamora Raptors August 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Importadora Alvarado. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +1.5%
1 68.5%
2 31.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.35 → 1.35
Winner P2 2.95 → 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 68.6% @ 1.35 / 2 31.4% @ 2.95
Match center

Importadora Alvarado - Zamora Raptors

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Importadora Alvarado 68.6% 51.6% market and model agree
Zamora Raptors 31.4% 48.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 51.6% / 48.4% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,500 Importadora Alvarado / Zamora Raptors
RD 300 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,240-2,439 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +42.7% · model 48.4%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 51.6%
Total
Over 156.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 156.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% — 1.85 54.1%
— 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 156.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 156.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3%