Match center
Start
05.07.2026 14:30 UTC
05.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished
Europe: Evrobasket - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Bulgaria - Norway
88
:
57
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Bulgaria — 81%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bulgaria - Norway July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Bulgaria. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
89.9%
2
10.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Bulgaria
Well rested- Rest days: 10
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Norway
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Bulgaria
162 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 79
- Concedes: 83
Norway
219 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 116
- Concedes: 103
Total line: 161.5 · projection from form: 190.5 · Over in 100% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Bulgaria - Norway
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 145.5
1.85
Fonbet · line only
Over 147.5
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.77 56.5% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 145.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 161.5 | 1.92 52.1% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.16 86.2% | |
| 5.70 17.5% | 5.50 18.2% | 9.00 11.1% | 5.60 17.9% |
Match center
Norway
W
Norway
116:103
Armenia
1
Wins
0
Losses
116.0
Scored
103.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBulgaria - Norway
Bulgaria
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals