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Europe: Evrobasket - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Europe: Evrobasket - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Slovakia - Kosovo

Basketball
Slovakia
Slovakia
86 : 83
Finished
Kosovo
Kosovo
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Slovakia — 79%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Slovakia - Kosovo July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kosovo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / 2 1.48

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 38.1%
2 61.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
89.0Points per game78.0
148.5Offensive rating126.9
130.2Defensive rating144.8
11.0Point differential-11.0
66.0Assists54.0
126.0Rebounds99.0
40.0%3-pointers, %34.0%

Team form

Slovakia
Overall WWWLL Net +31.3
Home WLW Net +20.0
Away WWL Net +37.0
Kosovo
Overall LWLWL Net +4.0
Home LLWW Net -22.0
Away WL Net +30.0

Team stats

Slovakia Overall · Home/Away Kosovo
100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%Win %50.0%H 0.0% · A 100.0%
31.3H 20.0 · A 37.0Point differential4.0H -22.0 · A 30.0
85.3H 73.0 · A 91.5Points per game88.5H 78.0 · A 99.0
69.7H 63.0 · A 73.0Conceded86.5H 89.0 · A 84.0
40.3%H 35.0% · A 43.0%FG, %49.0%H 42.0% · A 56.0%
—1st half50.0H 0.0
72.1H 66.6 · A 74.9Pace74.6H 69.7 · A 79.5
116.7H 125.5 · A 112.7Offensive rating119.0H 127.4 · A 111.7
95.3H 102.5 · A 92.0Defensive rating116.3H 124.5 · A 109.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Slovakia Total (over) Kosovo
85.3 Points per game 88.5
66.7%
O 83.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 84.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 85.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 86.5srednee
50.0%
66.7%
O 87.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 88.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 89.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 90.5
50.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Slovakia 45.3 / Kosovo 43.0

Slovakia Total (over) Kosovo
66.7%
O 42.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 43.5
50.0%
66.7%
O 44.5srednee
0.0%
66.7%
O 45.5
0.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Slovakia 40.0 / Kosovo 45.5

Slovakia Total (over) Kosovo
33.3%
O 41.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 42.5srednee
50.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 44.5
50.0%

Form and head-to-head • Eurobasket Qualification

Team stats

Slovakia
LLWWLLLWWW
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:76.2 : 76.5
1 place, 6 pts
Kosovo
LLWLWLL
W 2 • D 0 • L 5 (7)
Goals average:77.29 : 84
3 place, 4 pts
Head-to-head: 6 — Slovakia 5, draws 0, Kosovo 1 (goals 475:425)
  • Kosovo — Slovakia2026-02-27 78:89
  • Kosovo — Slovakia2021-02-20 73:77
  • Slovakia — Kosovo2020-11-26 91:67
  • Slovakia — Kosovo2019-07-21 82:65
  • Slovakia — Kosovo2017-07-19 75:73

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Slovakia
No recent matches
Kosovo
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Slovakia
No recent games
Kosovo
171 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 82
  • Concedes: 89
Total line: 161.5 · projection from form: 171 · Over in 100% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Slovakia - Kosovo

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% —
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 158.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 159.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 160.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 163.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 164.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 167.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
Over 168.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 169.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 170.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Over 171.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 172.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 173.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Under 161.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 2.40 41.7% 1.18 84.8%
5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4% 1.48 67.6% 5.20 19.2%
Match center
Kosovo
L
02.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Kosovo 82:89 Albania
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySlovakia - Kosovo

Slovakia
0 matches total
Kosovo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history