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Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) - Netherlands U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
79 : 72
Finished
Netherlands U20 (Zh)
Netherlands U20 (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bulgaria U20 (Zh) - Netherlands U20 (Zh) July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bulgaria U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
Overall WLLLW Net +60.0
Home LW Net -1.0
Away WLLW Net +60.0
Netherlands U20 (Zh)
Overall LWLLL Net +5.5
Home WL Net +16.0
Away LLLW Net -0.6

Team stats

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Netherlands U20 (Zh)
100.0%A 100.0%Win %63.6%H 75.0% · A 57.1%
60.0H -1.0 · A 60.0Point differential5.5H 16.0 · A -0.6
86.0A 86.0Points per game69.5H 75.8 · A 65.9
56.0A 56.0Conceded66.7H 67.8 · A 66.1
47.0%A 47.0%FG, %37.1%H 38.8% · A 36.1%
—H -1.01st half63.6H 75.0 · A 57.1
75.8A 75.8Pace77.8H 79.3 · A 76.9
112.8A 112.8Offensive rating88.6H 86.9 · A 89.6
73.5A 73.5Defensive rating85.1H 83.5 · A 86.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) Total (over) Netherlands U20 (Zh)
86.0 Points per game 69.5
100.0%
O 74.5
45.5%
100.0%
O 75.5
45.5%
100.0%
O 76.5
45.5%
100.0%
O 77.5srednee
45.5%
100.0%
O 78.5
45.5%
100.0%
O 79.5
27.3%
100.0%
O 80.5
27.3%
100.0%
O 81.5
27.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Bulgaria U20 (Zh) 55.0 / Netherlands U20 (Zh) —

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) Total (over) Netherlands U20 (Zh)
100.0%
O 43.5
27.3%
100.0%
O 44.5
18.2%
100.0%
O 45.5
18.2%
100.0%
O 46.5srednee
9.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Bulgaria U20 (Zh) — / Netherlands U20 (Zh) —

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) Total (over) Netherlands U20 (Zh)
0.0%
O 40.5
36.4%
0.0%
O 41.5
27.3%
0.0%
O 42.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 43.5
9.1%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Netherlands U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
142 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 86
  • Concedes: 56
Netherlands U20 (Zh)
145.5 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 83
  • Concedes: 62.5

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Bulgaria U20 (Zh) - Netherlands U20 (Zh)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 69.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 70.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 71.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 72.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 73.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 142.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 143.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 144.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 145.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 147.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 149.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 150.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 151.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 152.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 154.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 155.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 157.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Bulgaria U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 13:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
Bulgaria U20 (Zh) 86:56 Romania U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
56.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Netherlands U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 15:15 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
Netherlands U20 (Zh) 107:50 Bosnia i Gertsegovina U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
107.0 Scored
50.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage