European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals

Spain U20 (Zh) - Lithuania U20

Basketball
Spain U20 (Zh)
Spain U20 (Zh)
77 : 69
Finished
Lithuania U20
Lithuania U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain U20 (Zh) - Lithuania U20 July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spain U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.21 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 76.3%
2 23.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins2
56.0Points on average60.3

Head-to-head matches: 3 · average total 116.3 (points)

Team form

Spain U20 (Zh)
4-6WWLLLWLWLL
points for 76.5points against 82.0
Lithuania U20
6-4WWLWLWWLWL
points for 77.1points against 69.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Spain U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Lithuania U20
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Spain U20 (Zh)
134 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 68
  • Concedes: 66
Lithuania U20
153 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 89
  • Concedes: 64

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Spain U20 (Zh) - Lithuania U20

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.21 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 138.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.12 47.2%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 73.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 74.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 75.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 76.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 77.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 78.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 138.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 139.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 140.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 141.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 142.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 143.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 144.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 145.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 139.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.26 79.4%
3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.77 26.5%
Match center
Spain U20 (Zh)
W W
05.07 10:30 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Spain U20 (Zh) 88:55 Croatia U20 (Zh)
04.07 10:30 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Spain U20 (Zh) 68:66 Israel U20 (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
78.0 Scored
60.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Lithuania U20
W
04.07 13:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Lithuania U20 89:64 Croatia U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
64.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage