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Europe: Evroliga - Final chetyrekh

semi-final 22.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

22.05.2026 16:00 UTC semi-final

Finished

Europe: Evroliga - Final chetyrekh

Valensiya - Real Madrid

Basketball

Valensiya

90 : 105

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valensiya - Real Madrid May 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 9.8%

2 90.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Valensiya

9-1WWLWWWWWWW

points for 94.3points against 84.0

Real Madrid

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Telekom Center Athens (Afiny)

Referee Lottermoser R. 🇩🇪 - Difallah M. 🇫🇷 - Latisevs O. 🇱🇻

Start 22.05.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Valensiya - Real Madrid

Basketball, Valensiya - Real Madrid, 22 maya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 90 : 105, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. Evroliga 2025/2026, semi-final. Vo skolko nachalo matches Valensiya - Real Madrid, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 100.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Over 101.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.38 72.5%
	1.92 52.1%
	2.80 35.7%
	2.60 38.5%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.50 40.0%
	2.80 35.7%
	1.32 75.8%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.32 75.8%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.47 68.0%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.36 73.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 100.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 101.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 102.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 104.5	1.98 50.5%
Over 168.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 169.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 170.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 172.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 173.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 174.5	1.73 57.8%
Over 175.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 176.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 177.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 178.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 179.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 180.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 181.5	1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	9.50 10.5%
	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValensiya - Real Madrid

Valensiya

0 matches total

Real Madrid

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Valensiya

Data 6 / 0 / 2 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Real Madrid

Tournament bracket

1/2 Olimpiakos 79:61 Fenerbakhche

1/2 Valensiya streak Real Madrid

43 Games 42

28 Wins 27

15 Losses 15

3887 Scored 3686

3692 Conceded 3470

71 Points 69

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Valensiya Real Madrid 43 Games 42 28 Wins 27 15 Losses 15 3887 Scored 3686 3692 Conceded 3470 71 Points 69

Valensiya Real Madrid 43 Games 42 28 Wins 27 15 Losses 15 3887 Scored 3686 3692 Conceded 3470 71 Points 69