Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Montenegro - Romania
65
:
64
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Montenegro — 68%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Montenegro - Romania July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Montenegro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 5.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 11.4%
1
82.4%
2
17.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Montenegro
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Romania
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Montenegro
140 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 72
- Concedes: 68
Romania
139 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 73
- Concedes: 66
Total line: 152.5 · projection from form: 139.5 · Over in 0% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Montenegro - Romania
Basketball, Montenegro - Romania, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 65 : 64, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Montenegro - Romania, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 125.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Over 126.5
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 2.65 37.7% | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | — | 2.85 35.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 125.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 126.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 127.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 128.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 129.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 130.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 152.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 152.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 77.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 5.10 19.6% | 2.92 34.3% |
Match center
Montenegro
W
Montenegro
72:68
Portugal
1
Wins
0
Losses
72.0
Scored
68.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Romania
W
Romania
73:66
Greece
1
Wins
0
Losses
73.0
Scored
66.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMontenegro - Romania
Montenegro
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Montenegro
Team 2
Romania
Montenegro
Team comparison
Romania
5
Games
5
3
Wins
2
2
Losses
3
346
Scored
395
370
Conceded
432
8
Points
7
Montenegro Romania 5 Games 5 3 Wins 2 Losses 3 346 Scored 395 370 Conceded 432 8 Points 7 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 78% 13% 9% Double chance 46% 43% 11% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289556' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');