Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

05.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Finished

Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Denmark - Ukraine

Basketball

Denmark

69 : 99

Finished

Ukraine

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Ukraine — 84%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Denmark — odds 10.60 · edge +6.1% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Denmark - Ukraine July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ukraine. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 8.4%

2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins0

64.3Points on average50.8

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 115.0 (points)

Team form

Denmark

6-4WWLLWLLWWW

points for 54.6points against 49.5

Ukraine

2-8LWLWLLLLLL

points for 61.0points against 70.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Denmark

Normal schedule

Rest days: 3
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Ukraine

Normal schedule

Rest days: 3
Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Denmark

190 points/match (over 1)

Scores: 81
Concedes: 109

Ukraine

162 points/match (over 2)

Scores: 87
Concedes: 75

Total line: 155.5 · projection from form: 176 · Over in 67% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center

Stadium Farum-Arena (Farum, Denmark), 1 317 zriteley (44% pri vmestimosti 3 000)

Referee Zafer Yilmaz (Turkey)

Start 05.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Match center

Denmark - Ukraine

Basketball, Denmark - Ukraine, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 69 : 99, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Denmark - Ukraine, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 8.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 150.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Over 151.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.79 55.9%	1.85 54.1%
	1.86 53.8%	1.92 52.1%
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
	1.84 54.4%	—
	1.89 52.9%	1.95 51.3%
	1.82 55.0%	1.88 53.2%
	1.79 55.9%	—
	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
	—	1.96 51.0%
	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 155.5	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Over 156.5	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Over 158.5	1.81 55.3%	1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5	1.82 55.0%	1.90 52.6%
Over 160.5	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Under 155.5	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Under 158.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%
Under 159.5	1.86 53.8%	—
Under 160.5	1.84 54.4%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	8.00 12.5%	9.00 11.1%	11.00 9.1%	10.50 9.5%
	1.04 96.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.01 99.0%	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Denmark

02.07 15:00 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Denmark 81:109 Spain

0 Wins

1 Losses

81.0 Scored

109.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Ukraine

02.07 13:30 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Ukraine 95:76 Georgia

1 Wins

0 Losses

95.0 Scored

76.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDenmark - Ukraine

Denmark

0 matches total

Ukraine

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Denmark

Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Ukraine

5 Games 5

0 Wins 3

5 Losses 2

347 Scored 405

449 Conceded 390

5 Points 8

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Denmark Ukraine 5 Games 5 0 Wins 3 5 Losses 2 347 Scored 405 449 Conceded 390 5 Points 8

Denmark Ukraine 5 Games 5 0 Wins 3 5 Losses 2 347 Scored 405 449 Conceded 390 5 Points 8