Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
France - Finland
98
:
69
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1France — 74%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction France - Finland July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: France. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
France
Finland
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
France
5-5LWWLLWLWWL
points for 64.3points against 54.0
Finland
5-5LLWWLLLWWW
points for 81.3points against 83.3
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
France
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Finland
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
France
152 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 80
- Concedes: 72
Finland
162 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 85
- Concedes: 77
Total line: 164.5 · projection from form: 157 · Over in 0% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
France - Finland
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.95
market consensus · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.94 51.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.08 48.1% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 164.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 165.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Over 166.5 | — | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 164.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 165.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 166.5 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 82.6% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.29 77.5% | |
| 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 11.00 9.1% | 4.06 24.6% |
Match center
Finland
W
Finland
85:77
Hungary
1
Wins
0
Losses
85.0
Scored
77.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFrance - Finland
France
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals