Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
02.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Iceland - Italy

Basketball
Iceland
Iceland
83 : 102
Finished
Italy
Italy
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Italy (odds1.37) Score 80:80 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Italy: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs Italy: probability 50%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Iceland - Italy July 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Italy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 10.6%
2 89.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Iceland
#36 ptsGP 42-2
Italy
#17 ptsGP 43-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins1
50.0%Win %50.0%
71.0Points per game81.5
93.8Offensive rating173.0
107.6Defensive rating150.7
-10.5Point differential10.5
48.0Assists45.0
93.0Rebounds111.0
35.0%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Iceland
Overall LWLWL Net -8.5
Home WLL Net -5.0
Away LWL Net -12.0
Italy

Coach: Gianmarco Pozzecco

Overall WWWWW Net +20.5
Home WWL Net +4.0
Away WWW Net +37.0

Team stats

Iceland Overall · Home/Away Italy
50.0%H 50.0% · A 50.0%Win %75.0%H 50.0% · A 100.0%
-8.5H -5.0 · A -12.0Point differential20.5H 4.0 · A 37.0
83.3H 85.0 · A 81.5Points per game83.8H 80.0 · A 87.5
87.5H 87.5 · A 87.5Conceded73.5H 78.0 · A 69.0
53.8%H 66.0% · A 41.5%FG, %45.0%H 41.0% · A 49.0%
25.0H 0.0 · A 50.01st half50.0H 50.0 · A 50.0
69.8H 62.2 · A 77.3Pace73.0H 74.3 · A 71.6
118.0H 132.6 · A 106.4Offensive rating114.8H 113.3 · A 116.4
124.1H 139.3 · A 111.8Defensive rating100.8H 99.4 · A 102.1

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Iceland Total (over) Italy
83.3 Points per game 83.8
100.0%
O 80.5
75.0%
75.0%
O 81.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 83.5srednee
50.0%
25.0%
O 84.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 85.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 86.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 87.5
25.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Iceland — / Italy 40.5

Iceland Total (over) Italy
25.0%
O 40.5srednee
50.0%
25.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Iceland 46.0 / Italy 43.3

Iceland Total (over) Italy
50.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 44.5srednee
25.0%
50.0%
O 45.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 46.5
25.0%

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Iceland - Italy

Basketball, Iceland - Italy, 2 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 83 : 102, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Iceland - Italy, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.48 67.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.40 71.4%
2.20 45.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 158.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 163.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
Over 165.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
Under 163.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
Under 164.5 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2%
Under 165.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 8.50 11.8% 2.46 40.7%
1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.53 65.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIceland - Italy

Iceland
0 matches total
Italy
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Iceland
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Italy
Iceland Team comparison Italy
4 Games 4
2 Wins 3
2 Losses 1
333 Scored 335
350 Conceded 294
6 Points 7
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Iceland Italy 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 2 Losses 1 333 Scored 335 350 Conceded 294 6 Points 7 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 35% 5% 60% Double chance 20% 47% 33% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289590' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');