Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Israel - Germany

Basketball
Israel
Israel
86 : 92
Finished
Germany
Germany
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Germany71%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Israel - Germany July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Germany. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 7.8%
2 92.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Israel
#10 ptsGP 00-0
Germany
#29 ptsGP 54-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0%Win %100.0%
69.0Points per game89.0
122.2Offensive rating133.0
157.6Defensive rating103.1
-20.0Point differential20.0
75.0Rebounds84.0
40.0%3-pointers, %30.0%

Team form

Israel
Overall WWLLL Net +17.5
Home WLL Net +26.0
Away WLL Net +9.0
Germany

Coach: Gordon Herbert

Overall WLWWW Net +18.0
Home WWW Net +22.0
Away LWW Net +14.0

Team stats

Israel Overall · Home/Away Germany
50.0%H 50.0% · A 50.0%Win %75.0%H 100.0% · A 50.0%
17.5H 26.0 · A 9.0Point differential18.0H 22.0 · A 14.0
79.3H 82.5 · A 76.0Points per game87.8H 90.0 · A 85.5
70.5H 69.5 · A 71.5Conceded78.8H 79.0 · A 78.5
46.0%H 44.5% · A 47.5%FG, %49.0%H 52.5% · A 45.5%
50.0H 50.0 · A 50.01st half75.0H 50.0
71.9H 74.7 · A 67.9Pace68.3H 64.4 · A 70.4
112.3H 104.0 · A 122.7Offensive rating128.9H 145.5 · A 121.8
99.9H 92.5 · A 109.1Defensive rating115.7H 130.6 · A 109.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Israel Total (over) Germany
79.3 Points per game 87.8
50.0%
O 80.5
100.0%
50.0%
O 81.5
100.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
100.0%
25.0%
O 83.5srednee
75.0%
25.0%
O 84.5
75.0%
25.0%
O 85.5
75.0%
25.0%
O 86.5
75.0%
25.0%
O 87.5
75.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Israel 44.0 / Germany 45.8

Israel Total (over) Germany
50.0%
O 43.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 44.5srednee
50.0%
25.0%
O 45.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 46.5
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Israel — / Germany —

Israel Total (over) Germany
0.0%
O 40.5
25.0%

Form and head-to-head • FIBA World Cup Qualification - 1st Round

Team stats

Israel
WLWWLLLLWW
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:81.3 : 76.7
3 place, 6 pts
Germany
WWWWWWWWLW
W 9 • D 0 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:93.2 : 75.1
2 place, 7 pts
Head-to-head: 9 — Israel 3, draws 0, Germany 6 (goals 708:768)
  • Germany — Israel2025-11-28 89:69
  • Germany — Israel2022-02-28 84:80
  • Israel — Germany2022-02-25 67:71
  • Israel — Germany2019-02-21 81:77
  • Germany — Israel2018-09-16 112:98

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Israel - Germany

Basketball, Israel - Germany, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 86 : 92, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Israel - Germany, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 3.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.95 51.3%
1.47 68.0%
2.60 38.5%
1.53 65.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.44 69.4%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 155.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 156.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 157.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 158.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 159.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 160.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 161.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 162.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 165.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 166.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 167.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 168.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.53 65.4%
Under 168.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 12.00 8.3% 3.59 27.9%
1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.28 78.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIsrael - Germany

Israel
0 matches total
Germany
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Israel
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Germany
Israel Team comparison Germany
4 Games 4
2 Wins 3
2 Losses 1
317 Scored 351
282 Conceded 315
6 Points 7
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Israel Germany 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 2 Losses 1 317 Scored 351 282 Conceded 315 6 Points 7 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 7% 13% 80% Double chance 10% 43% 47% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289572' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');