Match center
Start
05.07.2026 10:30 UTC
05.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
Italy U20 (Zh) - Serbia U20 (Zh)
85
:
78
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Italy U20 (Zh) - Serbia U20 (Zh) 5 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Italy U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 7.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 10.9%
1
88.4%
2
11.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Italy U20 (Zh)
Serbia U20 (Zh)
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Team form
Italy U20 (Zh)
Overall
LWLWW
Net -62.0
Home
W
Net -1.0
Away
LWLWL
Net -62.0
Serbia U20 (Zh)
Overall
LLWLW
Net -8.0
Home
LLW
Net -8.0
Away
LWW
Net -1.0
Team stats
Italy U20 (Zh)
Overall · Home/Away
Serbia U20 (Zh)
0.0%A 0.0%Win %0.0%H 0.0%
-62.0H -1.0 · A -62.0Point differential-8.0H -8.0 · A -1.0
60.0A 60.0Points per game74.0H 74.0
91.0A 91.0Conceded78.0H 78.0
64.0%A 64.0%FG, %49.0%H 49.0%
0.0H -1.0 · A 0.01st half0.0H 0.0 · A -1.0
59.1A 59.1Pace83.7H 83.7
124.6A 124.6Offensive rating89.6H 89.6
189.0A 189.0Defensive rating94.5H 94.5
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Italy U20 (Zh)
Total (over)
Serbia U20 (Zh)
60.0
Points per game
74.0
0.0%
O 70.5среднее
100.0%
0.0%
O 71.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 72.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 73.5
100.0%
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Italy U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Serbia U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Italy U20 (Zh)
151 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 60
- Concedes: 91
Serbia U20 (Zh)
152 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 74
- Concedes: 78
Total line: 142.5 · projection from form: 151.5 · Over in 100% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Italy U20 (Zh) - Serbia U20 (Zh)
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.80
Fonbet · line only
1
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 133.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 134.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -10.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П1 -11.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| П1 -12.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П1 -13.5 | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| П1 -3.5 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -10.5 | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| П2 -7.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -8.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -9.5 | — | 2.55 39.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 133.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 134.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 135.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 136.5 | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 137.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 138.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТБ 139.5 | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 142.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 144.5 | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 145.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 147.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 148.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 149.5 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТМ 143.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.41 70.9% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
| П2 | 2.65 37.7% | 7.80 12.8% | 2.75 36.4% |
Match center
Italy U20 (Zh)
L
Italy U20 (Zh)
60:91
Poland U20 (Zh)
0
Wins
1
Losses
60.0
Scored
91.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Serbia U20 (Zh)
L
Serbia U20 (Zh)
74:78
Iceland U20 (Zh)
0
Wins
1
Losses
74.0
Scored
78.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyItaly U20 (Zh) - Serbia U20 (Zh)
Italy U20 (Zh)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals