Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Israel U20 — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Israel U20): model 51% · market 11% Δ +40 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Israel U20 54.8%, win Greece U20 45.2%. Model favourite — Israel U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Greece U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
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Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -4.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| П2 +10.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +11.5 | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 +12.5 | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 129.5 | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 130.5 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 131.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 132.5 | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 133.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТБ 134.5 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 135.5 | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| ТБ 136.5 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| ТБ 137.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 138.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 139.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 140.5 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 142.5 | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 149.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| ТБ 150.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| ТМ 149.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 150.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.66 60.2% | 8.25 12.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 8.00 12.5% | 1.71 58.5% |
| П2 | 2.05 48.8% | 1.06 94.7% | 3.25 30.8% | 1.02 98.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
Israel U20
Чехия U20
Словения U20
Румыния U20
Greece U20
Испания U20
Бельгия U20
Хорватия U20
Full head-to-head historyIsrael U20 - Greece U20
