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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL International
07.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
07.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Samboanga Familis Brand Sardines - Rizal Golden Kulers

International Basketball
Samboanga Familis Brand Sardines
Samboanga Familis Brand Sardines
74 : 78
Finished
Rizal Golden Kulers
Rizal Golden Kulers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samboanga Familis Brand Sardines - Rizal Golden Kulers July 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rizal Golden Kulers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Samboanga Familis Brand Sardines - Rizal Golden Kulers

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 159.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 163.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 164.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 175.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 180.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 153.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 158.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 159.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 162.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.70 13.0%
1.05 95.2%