Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Pasig City — 61%
Model estimate: win Valenzuela City Darkhorse 39.4%, win Pasig City 60.6%. Model favourite — Pasig City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City 13 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valenzuela City Darkhorse.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.85
- Glicko: Valenzuela City Darkhorse 39.4% / Pasig City 60.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City
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Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +1.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| П1 +2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П1 +3.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П1 +4.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 +5.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П1 +7.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П1 -1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 165.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 176.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 184.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 188.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 191.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 193.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 195.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 199.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 | 1.85 54.1% |
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Full head-to-head historyValenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City