Hong Kong. Silver Shield Cup
South China - Eastern Long Lions
South China meet Eastern Long Lions on August 4, 2026 in the Hong Kong. Silver Shield Cup, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): South China 3-0-1, Eastern Long Lions 2-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 South China — 57%
Model estimate: win South China 56.6%, win Eastern Long Lions 43.4%. Model favourite — South China.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Saut Chayna: forma VVPVV (4-1)
- • Istern Long Layonz: forma PVV (2-1)
- • Model backs Saut Chayna: probability 57% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 163.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 163.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction South China - Eastern Long Lions August 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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South China - Eastern Long Lions
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 163.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 163.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| 2.25 44.4% |
South China
Eastern Long Lions
Full head-to-head historySouth China - Eastern Long Lions
Match history
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The South China - Eastern Long Lions breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form