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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 16:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 16:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Angarsk (zh) - Saransk (zh)

International Basketball
Angarsk (zh)
Angarsk (zh)
121 : 106
Finished
Saransk (zh)
Saransk (zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Saransk (zh) — 50%

1 · Angarsk (zh)49.5%
2 · Saransk (zh)50.5%

Model estimate: win Angarsk (zh) 49.5%, win Saransk (zh) 50.5%. Model favourite — Saransk (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angarsk (zh) - Saransk (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Angarsk (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Angarsk (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Angarsk (zh) 49.5% / Saransk (zh) 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 84.8%
2 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.83 ↓ 1.48
Победитель П2 1.87 ↑ 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 16:10 MSK
Form 5 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Angarsk (zh) - Saransk (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 121:106
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Angarsk (zh) 62.3% 49.5% market favourite
Saransk (zh) 37.7% 50.5% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.5% / 50.5% probabilities
Rating 1,529 / 1,638 Angarsk (zh) / Saransk (zh)
RD 227 / 272 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,075-1,983 / 1,094-2,181 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +207.9% · model 50.5%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 49.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 205.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 206.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -1.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -10.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -11.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -12.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -13.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -14.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -15.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -16.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -17.5 1.47 68.0%
П2 -18.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -19.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -2.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -20.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -3.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -4.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -5.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -6.5 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 205.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 206.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 207.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 208.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 209.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 210.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 211.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 212.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 213.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 214.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 215.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 216.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 217.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 218.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 219.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 220.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 221.5 2.52 39.7%
ТБ 222.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.09 91.7%
П2 6.10 16.4%
Match center
Angarsk (zh)
L W
15.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Angarsk (zh) 86:101 Mytischi (zh)
09.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Angarsk (zh) 103:102 Mytischi (zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
94.5 Scored
101.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Saransk (zh)
L W
08.06 13:10 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Saransk (zh) 112:113 Ангарск (ж)
03.06 14:10 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Saransk (zh) 128:103 Ангарск (ж)
1 Wins
1 Losses
120.0 Scored
108.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngarsk (zh) - Saransk (zh)

Angarsk (zh)
2 matches total
Saransk (zh)
Angarsk (zh): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saransk (zh): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Саранск (ж) 103:128 (03.06 14:10 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 231 goals (103:128, 03.06 14:10 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.06 13:10 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Ангарск (ж)
113:112
Саранск (ж)
03.06 14:10 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Ангарск (ж)
103:128
Саранск (ж)