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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 08:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 08:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Asbest - Irkutsk

International Basketball
Asbest
Asbest
114 : 110
Finished
Irkutsk
Irkutsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Asbest — 53%

1 · Asbest52.9%
2 · Irkutsk47.1%

Model estimate: win Asbest 52.9%, win Irkutsk 47.1%. Model favourite — Asbest.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Asbest - Irkutsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Asbest.

Line favourite Fonbet: Asbest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.70
  • Glicko: Asbest 52.9% / Irkutsk 47.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 80.3%
2 19.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.10 ↓ 1.65
Победитель П2 1.65 ↑ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 08:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Asbest - Irkutsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 114:110
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Asbest 56.0% 52.9% market and model agree
Irkutsk 44.0% 47.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.9% / 47.1% probabilities
Rating 1,546 / 1,558 Asbest / Irkutsk
RD 72 / 72 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,402-1,690 / 1,415-1,702 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · weak value +121.2% · model 47.1%
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 52.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 211.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 212.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -10.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -11.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -12.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -13.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -14.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -15.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -16.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -17.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -18.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -2.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -5.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -6.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 -7.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -8.5 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 211.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 212.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 213.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 214.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 215.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 216.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 217.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 218.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 219.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 220.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 221.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 222.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 223.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 224.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 225.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 226.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 227.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 228.5 1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.15 87.0%
П2 4.70 21.3%
Match center
Asbest
L L W L W
15.07 06:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 125:127 Essentuki
13.07 10:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 120:126 Kemerovo
13.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 119:117 Irkutsk
13.07 06:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 123:126 Essentuki
10.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest 113:108 Irkutsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
120.0 Scored
120.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Irkutsk
L W L W L
15.07 07:10 МСК IPBL
Irkutsk 120:123 Kemerovo
13.07 11:10 МСК IPBL
Irkutsk 115:103 Essentuki
13.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Irkutsk 117:119 Asbest
13.07 07:10 МСК IPBL
Irkutsk 125:117 Kemerovo
10.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Irkutsk 108:113 Asbest
2 Wins
3 Losses
117.0 Scored
115.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAsbest - Irkutsk

Asbest
3 matches total
Irkutsk
Asbest: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Irkutsk: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Asbest 113:108 (10.07 08:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 236 goals (119:117, 13.07 08:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest
119:117
Irkutsk
10.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest
113:108
Irkutsk
08.07 08:10 МСК IPBL
Asbest
102:103
Irkutsk