IPBL
IPBL International
08.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
96 : 98
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk July 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 21.5%
2 78.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 185.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 186.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.63 61.4%
1.57 63.7%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.94 51.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.70 37.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
2.13 47.0%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 185.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 186.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 187.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 188.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 189.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 190.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 191.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 192.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 193.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 194.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 195.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 196.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 197.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 198.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 199.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 200.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 201.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 202.5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.30 23.3%
1.18 84.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
0 matches total
Novosibirsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history