IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 03:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
98 : 92
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Novosibirsk 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barnaul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 65.0%
2 35.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 06:00 MSK
Match center

Barnaul - Novosibirsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +10.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -10.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -11.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -12.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -13.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -14.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -2.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -3.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -4.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -5.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -6.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -7.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -8.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -9.5 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 153.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 154.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 155.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 156.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 157.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 158.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 159.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 160.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 161.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 162.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 163.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 164.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 165.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 166.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 167.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 168.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 169.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 170.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.43 69.9%
П2 2.65 37.7%
Match center
Barnaul
W L W L L
10.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 89:83 Sochi
10.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 105:117 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 87:84 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
08.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:125 Sochi
08.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 110:111 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
2 Wins
3 Losses
100.0 Scored
104.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
L L L W L
10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 107:122 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 70:109 Sochi
10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 84:87 Barnaul
08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 111:110 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 95:120 Sochi
1 Wins
4 Losses
93.4 Scored
109.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Novosibirsk

Barnaul
2 matches total
Novosibirsk
Barnaul: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Barnaul 87:84 (10.07 03:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 194 goals (96:98, 08.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
87:84
Novosibirsk
08.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
96:98
Novosibirsk