Match center
Start
10.07.2026 07:00 UTC
10.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
IPBL
Barnaul - Sochi
89
:
83
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barnaul - Sochi 10 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Barnaul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
84.1%
2
15.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barnaul - Sochi
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.80
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.20
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +3.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +4.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -0.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -3.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 -5.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 -6.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 173.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 176.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| ТБ 183.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 184.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 185.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.10 90.9% |
| П2 | 5.80 17.2% |
Match center
Barnaul
L
W
L
L
L
Barnaul
105:117
Sankt-Peterburg
Sankt-Peterburg
Barnaul
87:84
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
Barnaul
109:125
Sochi
Barnaul
110:111
Sankt-Peterburg
Sankt-Peterburg
Barnaul
96:98
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
1
Wins
4
Losses
101.4
Scored
107.0
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Sochi
W
W
W
W
W
Sochi
109:70
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
Sochi
103:85
Sankt-Peterburg
Sankt-Peterburg
Sochi
125:109
Barnaul
Sochi
120:95
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
Sochi
126:92
Sankt-Peterburg
Sankt-Peterburg
5
Wins
0
Losses
116.6
Scored
90.2
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Sochi
Barnaul
1
matches total
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Sochi 109:125 (08.07 07:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
234 goals (109:125, 08.07 07:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Barnaul
109:125
Sochi