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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

IPBL

Barnaul - Sochi

International Basketball
Barnaul
Barnaul
- : -
Not started
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barnaul - Sochi July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 17.4%
2 82.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Barnaul - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 200.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 201.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.76 56.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.60 62.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.72 58.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.57 63.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.67 59.9%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 200.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 201.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 202.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 203.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 204.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 205.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 206.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 207.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 208.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 209.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 210.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 211.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 212.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 213.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 214.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 215.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 216.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 217.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.30 18.9%
1.12 89.3%
Match center
Barnaul
L L L L L
29.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 104:107 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 85:96 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 92:94 Sochi
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 109:118 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul 93:114 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
0 Wins
5 Losses
96.6 Scored
105.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Sochi
L W W L W
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 109:120 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
29.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 91:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 94:92 Barnaul
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 99:106 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 116:109 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
3 Wins
2 Losses
101.8 Scored
102.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarnaul - Sochi

Barnaul
3 matches total
Sochi
Barnaul: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 106:122 (22.07 07:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 228 goals (106:122, 22.07 07:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
92:94
Sochi
24.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
106:110
Sochi
22.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Barnaul
106:122
Sochi