IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
130 : 111
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 52.7%
2 47.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 237.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 238.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -10.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -11.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -12.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -13.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -14.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -15.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -16.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -17.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -18.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -20.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -21.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -22.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -3.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -4.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 237.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 238.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 239.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 240.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 241.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 242.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 243.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 244.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 245.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 246.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 247.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 248.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 249.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 250.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 251.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 252.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 253.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 254.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.75 57.1%
П2 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Bears
W W W W
09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Bears 125:113 Piranyas
08.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 126:104 Reyvens
07.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 139:125 Oktopus
07.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Bears 129:126 Piranyas
4 Wins
0 Losses
129.8 Scored
117.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Octopus
W L W
08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 116:115 Piranyas
07.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Octopus 125:139 Birz
07.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 126:123 Reyvens
2 Wins
1 Losses
122.3 Scored
125.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears
1 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 139:125 (07.07 13:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 264 goals (139:125, 07.07 13:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Birz
139:125
Oktopus