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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 13:00 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
150 : 132
Finished
Octopus
Octopus
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bears — 54%

1 · Bears53.7%
2 · Octopus46.3%

Model estimate: win Bears 53.7%, win Octopus 46.3%. Model favourite — Bears.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bears.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Bears 53.7% / Octopus 46.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 84.8%
2 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.52 ↓ 1.09
Победитель П2 2.35 ↑ 6.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Bears - Octopus

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 150:132
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bears 84.8% 53.7% market and model agree
Octopus 15.2% 46.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.7% / 46.3% probabilities
Rating 1,521 / 1,519 Bears / Octopus
RD 76 / 79 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,368-1,673 / 1,361-1,677 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +182.6% · model 46.3%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 53.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 234.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 235.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -1.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -10.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -11.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -12.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -13.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -14.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -15.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -16.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -17.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -18.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -19.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -20.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -21.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -22.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -23.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -24.5 2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 234.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 235.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 236.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 237.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 238.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 239.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 240.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 241.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 242.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 245.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 246.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 247.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 248.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 249.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 250.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 251.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 252.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 253.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.09 91.7%
П2 6.10 16.4%
Match center
Bears
L W W W W
13.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Bears 130:143 Piranyas
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 133:118 Reyvens
10.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 150:127 Reyvens
09.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 130:111 Oktopus
09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Bears 125:113 Piranyas
4 Wins
1 Losses
133.6 Scored
122.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Octopus
L L W W L
13.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 144:149 Reyvens
13.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 135:150 Piranyas
10.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 153:150 Reyvens
10.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 147:143 Piranyas
09.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Octopus 111:130 Birz
2 Wins
3 Losses
138.0 Scored
144.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears
2 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 130:111 (09.07 13:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 264 goals (139:125, 07.07 13:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Birz
130:111
Oktopus
07.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Birz
139:125
Oktopus