IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 10:30 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Piranhas

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
130 : 143
Finished
Piranhas
Piranhas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bears58%

1 · Bears ✓ Прогноз57.8%
2 · Piranhas42.2%

Model estimate: win Bears 57.8%, win Piranhas 42.2%. Model favourite — Bears.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Piranhas 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bears.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Bears 57.8% / Piranhas 42.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Прогноз 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.94 ↓ 1.04
Победитель П2 1.76 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 10:30 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Bears - Piranhas

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 130:143
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bears 89.1% 57.8% market and model agree
Piranhas 10.9% 42.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.8% / 42.2% probabilities
Rating 1,563 / 1,481 Bears / Piranhas
RD 77 / 75 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,408-1,717 / 1,332-1,630 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 42.2%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 57.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 235.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 236.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -11.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -12.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -13.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -14.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -15.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -16.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -17.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -6.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -7.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -8.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -9.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 235.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 236.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 237.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 238.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 239.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 240.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 241.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 242.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 243.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 244.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 245.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 246.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 247.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 248.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 249.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 250.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 251.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 252.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.04 96.2%
П2 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Bears
W W W W W
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 133:118 Reyvens
10.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 150:127 Reyvens
09.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 130:111 Oktopus
09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Bears 125:113 Piranyas
08.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Bears 126:104 Reyvens
5 Wins
0 Losses
132.8 Scored
114.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Piranhas
W L W L L
13.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 150:135 Oktopus
10.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 143:147 Oktopus
09.07 14:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 128:115 Reyvens
09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 113:125 Birz
08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 115:116 Oktopus
2 Wins
3 Losses
129.8 Scored
127.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Piranhas

Bears
2 matches total
Piranhas
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Piranhas: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 125:113 (09.07 10:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 255 goals (129:126, 07.07 10:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Birz
125:113
Piranyas
07.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Birz
129:126
Piranyas