IPBL
IPBL International
14.07.2026 01:30 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Beavers - Skorpions

International Basketball
Beavers
Beavers
134 : 129
Finished
Skorpions
Skorpions
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Skorpions65%

1 · Beavers35.1%
market78%
2 · Skorpions ✓ Прогноз64.9%
market22%

Model estimate: win Beavers 35.1%, win Skorpions 64.9%. Model favourite — Skorpions.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Beavers - Skorpions 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Beavers.

Line favourite Fonbet: Beavers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.18 / 2 4.30
  • Glicko: Beavers 35.1% / Skorpions 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 78.5%
2 ✓ Прогноз 21.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.35 ↓ 1.18
Победитель П2 1.52 ↑ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 01:30 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Beavers - Skorpions

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 134:129
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Beavers 78.5% 35.1% market favourite
Skorpions 21.5% 64.9% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 35.1% / 64.9% probabilities
Rating 1,257 / 1,669 Beavers / Skorpions
RD 82 / 83 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,092-1,422 / 1,504-1,834 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · weak value +179.2% · model 64.9%
1 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 35.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 267.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 268.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.95 51.3%
П1 -0.5 1.95 51.3%
П1 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П1 -2.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 -3.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +0.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +2.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +4.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +5.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +6.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +7.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +8.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -0.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -1.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -3.5 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 267.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 268.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 269.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 273.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 274.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 275.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 276.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 277.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 278.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 279.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 280.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 281.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 282.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 287.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 288.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 289.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 290.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 291.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Beavers
L L L L L
13.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Beavers 152:154 Barrakudas
11.07 01:30 МСК IPBL
Beavers 133:161 Skorpions
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Beavers 134:157 Barrakudas
10.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Beavers 150:158 Khaski
09.07 01:30 МСК IPBL
Beavers 149:159 Skorpions
0 Wins
5 Losses
143.6 Scored
157.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Skorpions
W L W L W
14.07 00:15 МСК IPBL
Skorpions 143:141 Khaski
11.07 05:15 МСК IPBL
Skorpions 140:156 Barrakudas
11.07 01:30 МСК IPBL
Skorpions 161:133 Bivers
11.07 00:15 МСК IPBL
Skorpions 162:167 Khaski
09.07 05:15 МСК IPBL
Skorpions 145:125 Barrakudas
3 Wins
2 Losses
150.2 Scored
144.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBeavers - Skorpions

Beavers
2 matches total
Skorpions
Beavers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Skorpions: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Skorpions 133:161 (11.07 01:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 308 goals (149:159, 09.07 01:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

11.07 01:30 МСК IPBL
Bivers
133:161
Skorpions
09.07 01:30 МСК IPBL
Bivers
149:159
Skorpions