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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 13:10 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 13:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Belgorod - Saratov

International Basketball
Belgorod
Belgorod
107 : 118
Finished
Saratov
Saratov
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Belgorod — 59%

1 · Belgorod ✓ Прогноз59.1%
market12%
2 · Saratov40.9%
market88%

Model estimate: win Belgorod 59.1%, win Saratov 40.9%. Model favourite — Belgorod.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belgorod - Saratov 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saratov.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saratov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Belgorod 59.1% / Saratov 40.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.43 ↑ 7.70
Победитель П2 2.65 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 13:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Belgorod - Saratov

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 107:118
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Belgorod 12.0% 59.1% Glicko-противоход
Saratov 88.0% 40.9% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.1% / 40.9% probabilities
Rating 1,661 / 1,547 Belgorod / Saratov
RD 97 / 97 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,467-1,855 / 1,352-1,742 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
1 7.70 Fonbet · weak value +355.4% · model 59.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 188.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 189.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +10.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +11.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -0.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -10.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -11.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -12.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -13.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -2.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -3.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -4.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -5.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -6.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -7.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -8.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -9.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 188.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 190.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 191.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 192.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 193.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 194.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 195.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 196.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 198.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 199.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 200.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 201.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 202.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 203.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 204.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 205.5 1.46 68.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 7.70 13.0%
П2 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Belgorod
W L W W
10.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 102:83 Maykop
10.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 96:105 Saratov
08.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 98:93 Maykop
08.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 92:74 Saratov
3 Wins
1 Losses
97.0 Scored
88.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Saratov
W W L W
10.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 105:96 Belgorod
09.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 68:61 Nalchik
08.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 74:92 Belgorod
07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 91:70 Nalchik
3 Wins
1 Losses
84.5 Scored
79.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBelgorod - Saratov

Belgorod
2 matches total
Saratov
Belgorod: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saratov: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Belgorod 92:74 (08.07 13:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 201 goals (96:105, 10.07 13:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod
96:105
Saratov
08.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod
92:74
Saratov