IPBL International

16.07.2026 13:05 UTC Match prediction

16.07.2026 13:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Berezniki (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

International Basketball

Berezniki (w)

110 : 87

Finished

Ekaterinburg (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ekaterinburg (w) — 59%

1 · Berezniki (w)40.7%

market89%

2 · Ekaterinburg (w) ✓ Прогноз59.3%

market11%

Model estimate: win Berezniki (w) 40.7%, win Ekaterinburg (w) 59.3%. Model favourite — Ekaterinburg (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Berezniki (w) - Ekaterinburg (w) July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Berezniki (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Berezniki (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
Glicko: Berezniki (w) 40.7% / Ekaterinburg (w) 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 89.1%

2 ✓ Прогноз 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.52 ↑ 3.70

Winner 2 1.46 ↓ 1.23

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 16.07.2026 13:05 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Berezniki (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 110:87

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Berezniki (w) 25.0% 40.7%

Ekaterinburg (w) 75.1% 59.3% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 40.7% / 59.3% probabilities

Rating 1,525 / 1,828 Berezniki (w) / Ekaterinburg (w)

RD 180 / 181 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,164-1,885 / 1,466-2,190 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +404.3% · model 59.3%

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 40.7%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.23 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 171.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 172.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.23 44.8%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.13 47.0%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 171.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 173.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 174.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 175.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 176.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 177.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 178.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 179.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 180.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 181.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 182.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 183.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 184.5	1.94 51.6%
Over 185.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 186.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 187.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 188.5	1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	8.50 11.8%

Match center

Berezniki (w)

L W L L W

16.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (w) 85:107 Tolyatti (zh)

16.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (w) 82:80 Khimki (zh)

12.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (w) 77:82 Ekaterinburg (zh)

12.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (w) 70:86 Tolyatti (zh)

12.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (w) 98:83 Khimki (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

82.4 Scored

87.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Ekaterinburg (w)

W W W W W

16.07 12:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 91:88 Khimki (zh)

16.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 76:71 Tolyatti (zh)

12.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 82:77 Berezniki (zh)

12.07 12:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 86:77 Khimki (zh)

12.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 89:79 Tolyatti (zh)

5 Wins

0 Losses

84.8 Scored

78.4 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBerezniki (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

Berezniki (w)

2 matches total

Ekaterinburg (w)

Berezniki (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Ekaterinburg (w): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Ekaterinburg (zh) 77:82 (12.07 13:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 177 goals (90:87, 09.07 13:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (zh)

77:82

Ekaterinburg (zh)

09.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Berezniki (zh)

90:87

Ekaterinburg (zh)