IPBL
IPBL International
08.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Cheboksary (w) - Yaroslavl (w)

International Basketball
Cheboksary (w)
Cheboksary (w)
77 : 103
Finished
Yaroslavl (w)
Yaroslavl (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cheboksary (w) - Yaroslavl (w) July 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yaroslavl (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.10 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.1%
2 81.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Cheboksary (w) - Yaroslavl (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.62 61.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.43 69.9%
1.93 51.8%
1.58 63.3%
1.77 56.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 158.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 159.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 160.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 161.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 162.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 163.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 164.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 166.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 167.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 168.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 171.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 174.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.10 19.6%
1.13 88.5%