IPBL International

15.07.2026 10:05 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 10:05 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) - Tomsk (zh)

International Basketball

Cheboksary (zh)

92 : 82

Finished

Tomsk (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tomsk (zh) — 59%

1 · Cheboksary (zh)40.9%

market83%

2 · Tomsk (zh) ✓ Прогноз59.1%

market17%

Model estimate: win Cheboksary (zh) 40.9%, win Tomsk (zh) 59.1%. Model favourite — Tomsk (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cheboksary (zh) - Tomsk (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cheboksary (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Cheboksary (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50
Glicko: Cheboksary (zh) 40.9% / Tomsk (zh) 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%

1 83.2%

2 ✓ Прогноз 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.83 ↑ 2.15

Победитель П2 1.87 ↓ 1.62

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 10:05 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Cheboksary (zh) - Tomsk (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 92:82

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cheboksary (zh) 43.0% 40.9%

Tomsk (zh) 57.0% 59.1% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 40.9% / 59.1% probabilities

Rating 1,335 / 1,575 Cheboksary (zh) / Tomsk (zh)

RD 79 / 74 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,178-1,493 / 1,427-1,723 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +224.9% · model 59.1%

1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 174.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Over 175.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 +1.5	2.23 44.8%
П2 +2.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 +3.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 +4.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 +5.5	2.07 48.3%
П2 +6.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 +7.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 -0.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 -1.5	2.65 37.7%
П2 -2.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 -3.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5	2.05 48.8%
П2 -5.5	1.80 55.6%
П2 -6.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 -7.5	1.55 64.5%
П2 -8.5	1.62 61.7%
П2 -9.5	1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 174.5	1.48 67.6%
ТБ 175.5	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 176.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 177.5	1.40 71.4%
ТБ 178.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 179.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 180.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 181.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 182.5	2.35 42.6%
ТБ 183.5	2.35 42.6%
ТБ 184.5	2.65 37.7%
ТБ 185.5	2.15 46.5%
ТБ 186.5	2.40 41.7%
ТБ 187.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 188.5	2.30 43.5%
ТБ 189.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 190.5	1.93 51.8%
ТБ 191.5	2.05 48.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.11 90.1%
П2	5.50 18.2%

Match center

Cheboksary (zh)

L L L L L

15.07 08:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 80:84 Tambov (zh)

15.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 67:79 Yaroslavl (zh)

13.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 100:103 Tomsk (zh)

13.07 08:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 75:95 Tambov (zh)

13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 71:86 Yaroslavl (zh)

0 Wins

5 Losses

78.6 Scored

89.4 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Tomsk (zh)

W L W W W

15.07 09:00 МСК IPBL

Tomsk (zh) 103:83 Yaroslavl (zh)

15.07 07:00 МСК IPBL

Tomsk (zh) 78:106 Tambov (zh)

13.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Tomsk (zh) 103:100 Cheboksary (zh)

13.07 09:00 МСК IPBL

Tomsk (zh) 102:81 Yaroslavl (zh)

13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL

Tomsk (zh) 91:78 Tambov (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

95.4 Scored

89.6 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCheboksary (zh) - Tomsk (zh)

Cheboksary (zh)

3 matches total

Tomsk (zh)

Cheboksary (zh): 2 (66.7%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tomsk (zh): 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Cheboksary (zh) 97:89 (08.07 10:05 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 203 goals (100:103, 13.07 10:05 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

100:103

Tomsk (zh)

10.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

94:89

Tomsk (zh)

08.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

97:89

Tomsk (zh)