IPBL International

15.07.2026 06:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 06:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) - Yaroslavl (zh)

International Basketball

Cheboksary (zh)

67 : 79

Finished

Yaroslavl (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Yaroslavl (zh) — 58%

1 · Cheboksary (zh)42.2%

2 · Yaroslavl (zh) ✓ Прогноз57.8%

Model estimate: win Cheboksary (zh) 42.2%, win Yaroslavl (zh) 57.8%. Model favourite — Yaroslavl (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cheboksary (zh) - Yaroslavl (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yaroslavl (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Yaroslavl (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06
Glicko: Cheboksary (zh) 42.2% / Yaroslavl (zh) 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 12.7%

2 ✓ Прогноз 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.95 ↑ 7.30

Победитель П2 1.75 ↓ 1.06

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 15.07.2026 06:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Cheboksary (zh) - Yaroslavl (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 67:79

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cheboksary (zh) 12.7% 42.2%

Yaroslavl (zh) 87.3% 57.8% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 42.2% / 57.8% probabilities

Rating 1,355 / 1,567 Cheboksary (zh) / Yaroslavl (zh)

RD 80 / 78 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,195-1,514 / 1,411-1,722 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 57.8%

1 7.30 Fonbet · no value · model 42.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 142.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Over 143.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	1.60 62.5%
П2 +1.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 +10.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 +11.5	1.77 56.5%
П2 +12.5	1.80 55.6%
П2 +13.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 +14.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 +15.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 +16.5	1.60 62.5%
П2 +17.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 +18.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 +19.5	2.07 48.3%
П2 -0.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -1.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -2.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 -3.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -4.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 -5.5	1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 142.5	1.40 71.4%
ТБ 143.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 144.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 145.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 146.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 147.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 148.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 149.5	2.03 49.3%
ТБ 150.5	2.00 50.0%
ТБ 151.5	2.23 44.8%
ТБ 152.5	2.50 40.0%
ТБ 153.5	2.05 48.8%
ТБ 154.5	2.23 44.8%
ТБ 155.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 156.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 157.5	2.25 44.4%
ТБ 158.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 159.5	1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	7.30 13.7%
П2	1.06 94.3%

Match center

Cheboksary (zh)

L L L W W

13.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 100:103 Tomsk (zh)

13.07 08:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 75:95 Tambov (zh)

13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 71:86 Yaroslavl (zh)

10.07 10:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 94:89 Tomsk (zh)

10.07 08:05 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh) 98:94 Tambov (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

87.6 Scored

93.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Yaroslavl (zh)

W L W W L

13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) 79:70 Tambov (zh)

13.07 09:00 МСК IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) 81:102 Tomsk (zh)

13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) 86:71 Cheboksary (zh)

10.07 11:00 МСК IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) 84:83 Tambov (zh)

10.07 09:00 МСК IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) 73:76 Tomsk (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

80.6 Scored

80.4 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCheboksary (zh) - Yaroslavl (zh)

Cheboksary (zh)

3 matches total

Yaroslavl (zh)

Cheboksary (zh): 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Yaroslavl (zh): 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Yaroslavl (zh) 77:103 (08.07 06:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 180 goals (77:103, 08.07 06:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

71:86

Yaroslavl (zh)

10.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

85:76

Yaroslavl (zh)

08.07 06:00 МСК IPBL

Cheboksary (zh)

77:103

Yaroslavl (zh)